Poll: Alabama Senate Race Tied Following Moore’s Sexual Accusations
In our latest poll with Decision Desk HQ, former Alabama Supreme Court justice Roy Moore and former US attorney Doug Jones are tied in the race to become Alabama’s next US senator.
Looking at the tabs, Moore has lost a significant portion of the female vote, compared to our poll from late September: support for Moore among this demographic has decreased from 46% to 39%, with an overall spread change of -14%. Conversely, male support for Moore remains unchanged at roughly 55%. Little has changed among age cohorts, with voters under the age of 45 largely preferring Jones to Moore.
Moore has also seen a significant defection from his own party: just 69% of republican voters said they intend to vote for Moore, a 10-point drop from late September.
We also tested the horserace with current senator Luther Strange as a write-in candidate, which clearly breaks up the GOP’s vote share:
Interestingly, among those who were aware of the charges leveled against Roy Moore (82%), a majority (54%) believe that Moore should not exit the race. It’s not clear why a significant percentage of democrats would support Moore staying in the race, though it might be a strategic instinct.