Poll: Ossoff Leads in GA6; Handel Tops Republicans
As promised on Twitter, we polled the GA6 special election this week, including both the overall jungle primary-style horse race, as well as some head-to-head runoff questions.
Without any further ado, here are the overall toplines for the special election:
These results are similar to others we’ve seen in the district, and it’s clear that Democrats have rallied around Ossoff, who commands a 20-point lead over his next rival, Karen Handel. Unlike other surveys, we found that Handel is the clear choice of GOP voters, gaining support across several key demographics that will likely prove insurmountable for Republican challengers.
The runoff results are particularly interesting. Please note that these results were weighted separately from the rest of the survey to reflect the likely voter composition of these hypothetical races.
Handel vs. Ossoff:
Gray vs. Ossoff:
Hill vs. Ossoff:
Moody vs. Ossoff:
These results should be very encouraging for the Ossoff campaign, especially given the older, more conservative demographic profile of runoff voters. That said, all of the runoff figures fall within the margin of error, and with double-digit undecided numbers, the hypothetical races are certainly up for grabs.
Elsewhere, we decided to test both Trump’s approval rating, as well as that of the AHCA within the district:
Neither Trump nor Trumpcare are especially popular in this Republican-leaning district, but the latter is especially disliked. Expect these numbers to influence the race further in the weeks to come.