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Poll: Trump Ahead in Georgia by Four

Nov 4, 2016 | Posted by MT | Uncategorized | 0 comments |

In our final poll of Georgia before the election, Trump maintains his four-point lead over Hillary Clinton.

The toplines:

Trump 49%
Clinton 45%
Johnson 6%
Undecided 1%

Given Trump’s lead within the margin of error and Johnson polling above 5%, there is still uncertainty in this race.

Some highlights:

  • Clinton is still winning the early vote: 51% to 43%
  • Trump wins day-of voters: 57% to 34%
  • Clinton wins the <45 vote by roughly 10%
  • Trump wins the 44-64 demographic by 10%
  • Trump wins the 65+ demographic by nearly 25%
  • Trump wins 65% of white voters; Clinton wins 80% of black voters
  • Clinton wins Metro Atlanta: 48% to Trump’s 43%
  • Trump wins North Georgia and South/Coastal Georgia by 28 and 15 points, respectively
  • The vote is split in Middle Georgia: 47% to 47%

 

While the presidential race in Georgia is still competitive, the same is not true of the senate race, where Republican Johnny Isakson leads Democratic challenger Barksdale by 11 points:
Isakson 50%
Barksdale 39%
Buckley 8%
Undecided 3%

Click here to view the full results and methodology

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About MT

He is the founder and Managing Partner of Opinion Savvy.

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