Poll: Trump with Commanding Lead over Cruz in Arizona
In our latest poll conducted for Fox 10 Phoenix (KSAZ), Trump is poised to win the Arizona primary with nearly 50% of the vote.
Among early voters, the race narrows: Trump manages 44% to Cruz’s 38%. It is not expected that the race will come to such slim margins, as many Trump supporters eschew early voting, instead showing up on election day.
Contrary to our polls of other states, Cruz performs relatively well with younger voters in Arizona. This is likely the result of a movement to block Trump’s potential nomination, which has garnered support from younger voters who find the businessman’s message off-putting. Nevertheless, Trump wins the support of the largest age cohorts, with over 50% of the 65+ vote.
Elsewhere in the poll, we find that Trump wins among very conservative, conservative, and moderate voters alike. While Trump’s highest rate of support is in the Northwestern corner of the state, he posts strong numbers in the Phoenix area with 48%.