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Rubio Surges in South Carolina ahead of Saturday’s Primary

Feb 19, 2016 | Posted by MT | Uncategorized |

We conducted our final poll for the South Carolina Republican presidential primary on February 18th and 19th, and the results show a sizable surge for the Rubio campaign, placing him within 3 points of Donald Trump.

The horse race:

Trump 27%
Rubio 24%
Cruz 19%
Bush 11%
Carson 8%
Kasich 7%
Undecided 4%

Click here to view the full SC toplines

Rubio has increased his support in several key demographics, including the 45-64 and 65+ age cohorts. Rubio is also ahead of Trump in the Lowcountry, a less conservative area of the state with a lower percentage of Republican voters. In our most recent polls, Cruz has hovered around 19%, which he maintains once again.

Trump has managed to improve his ranking within the youngest demographic, and he maintains the highest commitment from voters: 97% of Trump supporters indicated that they do not foresee changing their vote.

For all intents and purposes, the results indicate a very likely Trump win… just don’t be surprised if Rubio fares better than expected.

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About MT

He is the founder and Managing Partner of Opinion Savvy.

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